chelsea champions league predictions

Chelsea have not lost under Thomas Tuchel and this is his biggest test with the Blues. They meet Atletico Madrid in Romania with a draw likely in the UEFA Champions League.

Atletico Madrid sit top of La Liga, 3 points clear of Real Madrid with a game in hand. They won 15 of 16 league matches but have won once in the last four. Diego Simeone’s side won eight straight matches in La Liga before a 2-2 draw against Celta Vigo, conceding the equaliser in the 89th minute. Los Colchoneros then won 2-1 at Granada before a 1-1 draw at Levante. Atletico Madrid took on Levante again on Saturday, this time at home where they lost 2-0. They had 28-6 shots including 2.06-0.77 expected goals but couldn’t find the net. Right back Kieran Trippier continues his suspension and centre back José Giménez is injured. Midfielder Héctor Herrera recently tested positive for COVID-19 and could miss out. Luis Suárez is in great form with 11 goals in his last 12 matches in La Liga.

Chelsea are unbeaten in seven matches since Thomas Tuchel took over in January. Following a 0-0 draw against Wolves, the Blues won five straight in all competitions. Tuchel’s side won 1-0 at Tottenham in that run with the other four victories coming against modest opposition in Burnley, Sheffield United, Barnsley and Newcastle. Chelsea’s last match was a 1-1 draw at Southampton. Mason Mount equalised from the penalty spot in a match they dominated with 71% possession and 1.45-0.50 expected goals. Chelsea are close to full strength, only missing injured centre back Thiago Silva. Andreas Christensen, Jorginho and Callum Hudson-Odoi all came off the bench in Southampton and could start here.

Atletico Madrid and Chelsea have two wins each with three draws in seven matches. They last met in the 2017/18 Champions League group stage, Chelsea winning 2-1 in Madrid before a 1-1 draw in London. Atletico Madrid have no home advantage here and are going through a rough period. Chelsea haven’t lost under Thomas Tuchel with a draw the best bet in Romania.